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范剑青 、 姚琦伟 著 / 科学出版社 / 2015-04 / 精装
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数学名著系列丛书:计量金融精要
《数学名著系列丛书:计量金融精要》是一本关于金融计量方面的基础用书,提供了核心基础资料,包括金融研究日益增长的科学前沿和金融工业方面重要的发展情况。《数学名著系列丛书:计量金融精要》对资产定价理论、投资组合优化和风险管理方法提供了简洁的和紧凑的处理。提供了单因素和多因素情况下的时间序列模型技术,在分析财务数据上下文的时候介绍了他们的均值和方差。真实的数据分析贯穿全书,是《数学名著系列丛书:计量金融精要》的一个明显的特征。
PrefacetoMathematicsMonographSeriesPrefaceChapter1AssetReturns1.1Returns1.1.1One-periodsimplereturnsandgrossreturns1.1.2Multiperiodreturns1.1.3Logreturnsandcontinuouslycompounding1.1.4Adjustmentfordividends1.1.5Bondyieldsandprices1.1.6Excessreturns1.2Behaviorof?nancialreturndata1.2.1Stylizedfeaturesof?nancialreturns1.3E±cientmarketshypothesisandstatisticalmodelsforreturns1.4Testsrelatedtoe±cientmarketshypothesis1.4.1Testsforwhitenoise1.4.2RemarksontheLjung-Boxtest1.4.3Testsforrandomwalks1.4.4Ljung-BoxtestandDickey-Fullertest1.5Appendix:Q-QplotandJarque-Beratest1.5.1Q-Qplot1.5.2Jarque-Beratest1.6Furtherreadingandsoftwareimplementation1.7ExercisesChapter2LinearTimeSeriesModels2.1Stationarity2.2StationaryARMAmodels2.2.1Movingaverageprocesses2.2.2Autoregressiveprocesses2.2.3Autoregressiveandmovingaverageprocesses2.3NonstationaryandlongmemoryARMAprocesses2.3.1Randomwalks2.3.2ARIMAmodelandexponentialsmoothing2.3.3FARIMAmodelandlongmemoryprocesses2.3.4Summaryoftimeseriesmodels2.4ModelselectionusingACF,PACFandEACF2.5FittingARMAmodels:MLEandLSE2.5.1Leastsquaresestimation2.5.2Gaussianmaximumlikelihoodestimation2.5.3Illustrationwithgoldprices2.5.4Asnapshotofmaximumlikelihoodmethods2.6Modeldiagnostics:residualanalysis2.6.1Residualplots2.6.2Goodness-of-?ttestsforresiduals2.7Modelidenti?cationbasedoninformationcriteria2.8Stochasticanddeterministictrends2.8.1Trendremoval2.8.2AugmentedDickey-Fullertest2.8.3Anillustration2.8.4Seasonality2.9Forecasting2.9.1ForecastingARMAprocesses2.9.2Forecastingtrendsandmomentumof?nancialmarkets2.10Appendix:TimeseriesanalysisinR2.10.1StartupwithR2.10.2R-functionsfortimeseriesanalysis2.10.3TSA{anadd-onpackage2.11ExercisesChapter3HeteroscedasticVolatilityModels3.1ARCHandGARCHmodels3.1.1ARCHmodels3.1.2GARCHmodels3.1.3StationarityofGARCHmodels3.1.4Fourthmoments3.1.5Forecastingvolatility3.2EstimationforGARCHmodels3.2.1Conditionalmaximumlikelihoodestimation3.2.2Modeldiagnostics……Chapter4MultivariateTimeSeriesAnalysisChapter5EffcientPortfoliosandCapitalAssetPricingModelChapter6FactorPricingModelsChapter7PortfolioAllocationandRiskAssessmentChapter8ConsumptionbasedCAPMChapter9Present-valueModelsReferencesAuthorIndexSubjectIndex
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